CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%.Market participants: In 2025, the steel industry may deduce the upstream profit-making logic. At the 2025 China steel market prospect and the annual meeting of "My Steel", whether the profit space of steel enterprises can be enlarged in 2025, whether the supply-side capacity will be withdrawn in an orderly manner, and what factors should be relied on for the long-term development of enterprises have become the minds of many participants. The industry believes that the survival pressure of steel enterprises may be eased in 2025. The upstream supply of iron ore, coke and coking coal will reduce their prices, and the cost of steel enterprises will fall. The market may deduce the upstream profit-making logic. Market participants said that although steel prices are still expected to decline in 2025, the profit margin of steel enterprises may increase. (SSE)In response to Trump's tariff threat, the Canadian Prime Minister held another meeting with provincial governors. On December 11, local time, Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau held another meeting with provincial governors to discuss the tariff threat of US President-elect Trump. This is the second time that Trudeau has held a meeting with provincial governors since Trump threatened to impose a high tariff of 25% on Canada last month. It is also the first time that Trudeau has met with governors after having dinner with Trump at Haihu Manor. Trudeau said that if Trump really continues to impose a 25% tariff on all Canadian goods shipped to the United States, Canada is prepared to make some kind of response. The outside world believes that this statement means that Canada will impose retaliatory tariffs on some American goods. (CCTV News)
Korean media: Six members of South Korea's ruling party supported the impeachment of Yin Xiyue. According to the East Asia Daily, six members of South Korea's ruling National Power Party supported the impeachment motion against President Yin Xiyue. The report did not quote the source. The opposition party needs at least eight people in the ruling party to vote in favor of the motion. Five members of the National Power Party publicly expressed their support, and one member who asked not to be named hinted to the newspaper that he supported the motion.Morgan Stanley upgraded Dahua's rating to parity, with a target price of RMB in 19 yuan. Andy Meng, an analyst at Morgan Stanley, had a low rating. The target price is 19 yuan RMB, which is up by 12%.Dozens of people were killed in attacks in Gaza. According to several Palestinian media reports, on the 11th local time, Israeli troops continued to attack many places in Gaza, causing dozens of deaths. Among them, near Kamal Adouan Hospital in the northern part of Gaza, Israeli troops attacked again that day, killing at least 30 people, most of whom were women and children. In addition, on the same day, the Israeli army burned dozens of houses in the Gebali refugee camp in the northern Gaza Strip, and many places such as Deir Balah in the Gaza Strip, Nusailit refugee camp and Khan Younis in the southern Gaza Strip were also attacked by the Israeli army, causing casualties. (CCTV News)
Adobe's annual performance guidance was worse than expected, and its share price fell more than 5% after hours. Adobe's adjusted EPS in the fourth quarter was $4.81, and analysts expected $4.67. Revenue in the fourth quarter was $5.61 billion, and analysts expected $5.54 billion. It is estimated that the adjusted EPS in FY 2025 will be $20.20-$20.50, and analysts expect $20.52. The adjusted EPS in the first fiscal quarter is expected to be $4.95-$5.00, and analysts expect $4.95. Adobe's U.S. stocks fell 1.81% after hours-the decline then expanded to 5.40%, and rose 0.38% before the performance report was released.Economic Daily: "Stabilizing the stock market" strongly guides stabilizing expectations. The article said that the key to stabilizing the stock market is to stabilize confidence. Recently, the stock market has been active in trading, and investors' confidence in the economic improvement and corporate profits has improved. All parties look forward to leveraging the stock market as the entry point to further stabilize the economy and steady growth. This expectation can only form a continuous positive feedback if it is mutually reinforced with the positive signals on the economic side. In the future, it is necessary to continue to improve the forward-looking, targeted and effective macro-control, urge all localities and departments to implement the defined policies and measures as soon as possible, solidly promote the economic upward, structural improvement and sustained development, and promote confidence boost and a virtuous circle and spiral rise in economic fundamentals.New york gold futures rose by 1.3% and stood at $2,750 on the release date of US CPI inflation data. In late new york on Wednesday (December 11th), spot gold rose by 0.89% to $2,718.31/ounce, and the refresh date at 13:05 Beijing time was as low as $2,675.69-a short-term V-shaped reversal occurred, and the US CPI data failed to break around $2,695 earlier in the day. After the US Treasury Department disclosed the results of the 10-year benchmark bond at 02:00, the daily refresh rate reached $2,721.14, which stood on the 50-day moving average for two consecutive trading days (the technical index was temporarily reported at $2,669.93). Spot silver was roughly flat at $31.9030 per ounce. COMEX gold futures rose by 1.29% to $2,753.60 per ounce, and rose to $2,759.70 at 23:42, which was on the rise all day. COMEX silver futures rose 0.15% to $32.795 an ounce. COMEX copper futures fell 0.23% to $4.2620/lb.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-14